Archive for September, 2009

18
Sep

Market Watch

The big picture

One year later: Growth emerges

Tuesday marked one year since Lehman Brothers declared bankruptcy, setting off the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. U.S. President Barack Obama spoke to a Wall Street audience, lauding his administration’s moves to prevent future financial calamities and warning that further bailouts are unlikely. Legendary investor Warren Buffett also praised the U.S. government for its efforts to heal the economy. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. recession is technically over, with growth expected to show in the third quarter, but warned the economy may remain weak for some time.

In Canada, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty insisted that it would be a major mistake for developed economies not to continue stimulus, and the Bank of Canada repeated warnings that economic recovery may be hampered by the strong loonie. Inflation was negative for the third straight month, but economists said it’s not deflation – taking energy out of the calculation, inflation would have been a healthy 1.4%. The Bank of England may reduce the Bank’s deposit rate to discourage banks from hoarding reserves and encourage them to buy more assets. Beijing filed a complaint with the World Trade Organization as the U.S. raised tariffs on Chinese-made tires, which have cost 5,000 U.S. jobs since 2004. 

Markets

Stocks rally and book sellers rejoice

The TSX index had a three-day run-up, hitting its highest level in almost a year on Wednesday as commodities and financial shares rallied. But on Thursday, stocks in Canada and the U.S. slipped on concerns whether recent market gains were justified, despite the latest round of solid economic data. The benchmark S&P 500 is now up 58% since its early March lows.

Magna’s second-largest customer, BMW, warned that their relationship could be in jeopardy if the parts supplier turns into a competitor. Magna plans to buy a stake in Opel, GM’s European car division. Nova Scotia was given the green light to test turbines in the Bay of Fundy. If viable, sea power could meet 10% of the province’s energy needs. Suncor is making deep cuts after its $22.7-billion takeover of Petro-Canada, eliminating 1,000 jobs, selling properties and reducing natural gas production. Booksellers are rejoicing as bestselling author Dan Brown’s new book, The Lost Symbol, sold over a million copies in the first 24 hours of its release; however, Amazon reported the e-book edition for its Kindle reader had actually outsold the hardcover version.

11
Sep

Market Watch

The big picture

Canada bouncing back, but rates stay on hold

Canada’s economy is recovering faster than previously thought, the Bank of Canada (BoC) said Thursday. Nonetheless, the BoC kept its lending rate at an all-time low of 0.25%, and renewed its pledge to hold rates until mid-2010. Canada’s banks were ranked the soundest in the world for the second year in a row by the World Economic Forum, while U.S. banks were ranked 108th.

At London’s G20 meeting, finance ministers agreed the world economy is stabilizing, but recovery is not established enough to start unwinding stimulus programs. Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said, “We agreed that we are not out of the woods . . . We must all remain focused on fully implementing our stimulus packages.” The International Monetary Fund called Canada’s economic strategy “large, timely, well-diversified and structured for maximum effectiveness.” The IMF raised its estimate for global economic growth in 2010 to 2.5%, from 1.9%. Rating agency Moody’s said on Tuesday that the U.S. government’s triple-A credit rating was safe and that the U.K. and Spain are unlikely to lose their top credit ratings.

Markets

Stocks rise as oil and metals rally; gold breaks $1,000

Rising prices for oil and metals helped push the TSX index to an 11-month high this week and the S&P index extended its gain to five straight days, its longest winning streak since November. Oil prices rose 6% since last Thursday and gold rallied above $1,000 an ounce for only the third time in history. The Canadian dollar surged as high as 93.56 cents, but fell back as investors weighed the risk of central bank intervention.

First Solar struck a 10-year deal with the Chinese government to build the world’s largest solar field. Solar panels will blanket a desert area larger than Manhattan and generate enough energy to light three million homes. Apple chief executive Steve Jobs unveiled a new iPod Nano equipped with a video camera and announced price cuts. In merger and acquisition activity, Telus bought Black’s Photo, adding 113 stores to its retail base; Cadbury rejected Kraft’s merger offer of US$16.7 billion; T-Mobile and Orange will merge to create the U.K.’s biggest wireless operator; and Swedish sports car maker Koenigsegg has teamed up with Beijing Automotive Industry Holding Co. (BAIC) to buy Saab from General Motors.




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