The big picture
Citigroup’s new boss: The U.S. Government
Toronto’s main stock index was 63.80 points lower today, following a three-session rally, as the price of oil fell and U.S. banking news pressured financial shares. The financials group had bounced higher earlier this week on better-than-expected quarterly results at big Canadian banks.
The U.S. government will boost its stake in Citigroup Inc to as much as 36 percent, increasing the bank’s capital base. The bailout bid is the third for Citigroup in the past five months and will dramatically dilute existing stockholders stakes to as low as 26 percent. The government will convert up to $25 billion in preferred shares for common stock. This will give the government greater influence on Citigroup’s operations, short of out right nationalization.
Earlier in the week, in his first formal address to Congress, Obama declared that the “day of reckoning” had arrived for an indulgent nation. He promised to press forward with major initiatives in health care, energy and education, while warning the nation’s major banks that he will “force the necessary adjustments” to push them back to viability.
Canadian economic data will continue to deteriorate as the country grapples with a recession, Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said on Monday.”I anticipated in the budget, in the economic action plan, a lot of bad news this year and we’re getting it,” he told reporters. Indeed, Statistics Canada figures released the same day showed retail sales plunging 5.4% in December, the largest such fall in 15 years. With weak consumer spending, a sagging housing market, and a battered export sector dragging the economy more deeply into recession, it’s now widely expected that the Bank of Canada will announce an interest rate cut next week.
The markets
Stocks hit 11-year low
The carnage on Wall Street continued this week after share prices fell to their lowest levels in more than 11 years on Monday. The falls in the S&P 500 and Dow Jones industrial average pushed them below the Nov. 21, 2008 closing levels, which had marked the previous lows point of the current cycle. Shares on the TSX also had a rough week, but rallied 3% Thursday on news of solid earnings reports from Canadian banks and rising oil prices.
In a move to purge default-prone borrowers from its ranks, American Express has taken the unprecedented step of offering selected customers a $300 AmEx prepaid gift card if they pay off their balances and close their accounts. AmEx declined to disclose the specific criteria used to determine who is eligible for the offer.
Recommendation
Bank Preferreds
When investing in fixed income, it is important to understand the hierarchy of corporate debt instruments. The ranking of claims is as follows: Senior secured loans and bonds, unsecured senior bonds, unsecured subordinated bonds, preferred shares, and finally, common shares. Recently, the Canadian banks have been headlining the news raising capital in the form of preferred shares. Preferred shares are a hybrid between debt and common equity. Preferred shares act like bonds where they have a maturity date that redeems at a par value of $25.00; however, they trade on the exchange like common equity. The advantages of preferred shares are that they produce dividend income instead of interest income, thereby, making it a tax advantage instrument. In addition, preferred shares offer security of principal and lower price volatility. Financials such as Manulife, TD, CIBC, NA and Royal Bank have issued preferred shares recently with an average yield of 6.5 percent and a rate-reset of 5 years. Email me to find out the exact yield and rate-reset values.

